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Gavin Grimmer
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terrain in the area to escape the valley, they would have flown into the lee of Big Lousy Mountain and of course in those strong westerly winds at the time, they would have encountered a very strong down-draft and very turbulent conditions making it near on impossible to clear the range.

Now take the Report/Observation of what appears to have been flares that Bette Diver and her daughter saw that night:
Bette was driving over the bridge at Glenwilliam at approximately 10 pm when she saw a white light over the mountains North West of Dungog. Her daughter Lyn was lying asleep next to her.She woke her daughter up and said did you see that. The white light seemed to stay up in the sky and then slowly drop and then seemed to "fold into itself". She turned onto Alison Road where she could get a clearer view of the night sky, when she and her daughter saw the second white light do exactly the same as the first light.

Note the time they saw it and compare that to the time I estimated MDX to be in that area (in my article 24 Dec 2020), and also note the direction they saw it.

Bette’s daughter a few years ago took a compass bearing using her cellphone compass from her home. A cell phone compass has a default setting of “True” rather than Magnetic to make it easy to relate it to that on a map, as maps are printed in “True”.  Hence the default True heading in plotting the direction on Google Earth can easily be used also.
As I don’t know for sure the precise position of where Bette’s daughter took this bearing (only that it was from her home), I have placed this direction on GE as taken from either end of the road that I know she lives on, but I am told the western extent is most likely the correct one.

                            Blue Track: Original high level
                             Red Track: Low level

                            Green Line: Wind Direction West to East
                             Red Lines: Bette Diver’s daughter’s compass bearing.

This would then place the initial area needing to be searched within the blue enclosure area:

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MDX pg 71